Comments on Arch | Tech: Careful With Predictions

I am not hating on apple, but Tosh.O is. See how ...

2010-02-12T14:33:56.631-05:00

I am not hating on apple, but Tosh.O is. See how he liked it.

http://gadgetblips.dailyradar.com/video/tosh-o-with-an-ipad/

I’ve been giving a bit more thought to this whole ...

2010-02-02T21:20:42.673-05:00

I’ve been giving a bit more thought to this whole iPad thing. I’ve already expressed my initial disappoint with what the iPad product is *now* as it would suit my needs, but aside from the specifics of the current iteration, or any other tablet, I wonder if the tablet will be considered a disruptive technology ten or twenty years from now.

The PC, the Internet, and the cell phone were all major disruptive technologies that really changed the world we live in and our perception of it (while often displacing older “technologies”).

So is the tablet (or the iPad if you want) a major disruptive technology, a minor one, or just an evolution of an existing one?

One could argue that for the typical consumer, the iPad is just an evolution of the smart phone in the same way the iPhone is just an evolution of the cell phone. Or it’s an evolution of the laptop. In either case, I don’t see it as a disruptive technology (yet).

One could argue that it’s all about the “’kids”... where the iPad may end up being a disruptive technology is in education.

The notion of students carrying around a bunch of printed textbooks already strikes me as ridiculously old fashion. I was wondering why I couldn’t have an “electronic copy” of my textbooks when I was in high school in the late ‘80s. Over twenty years later, aside from the cell phones, my impression is that “education” hasn’t changed much. But while a number of people have suggested that every kid could have an iPad that would hold all their text books, that would really only be a minor disruptive technology. What would make it a major disruptive technology is if it revolutionizes the very nature of what a textbook is and in turn, the curriculum itself.

As you stated, it is the answer to questions peopl...

2010-01-31T21:43:26.153-05:00

As you stated, it is the answer to questions people haven't asked. In other words, another device to waste our time. It's as if a smartphone, laptop, and PC aren't enough devices to turn us all into square eyed nerds...And Apple, like every company, is in the business of making money - not 'fun'.

Well, then. I think I'm starting to see the li...

2010-01-29T16:57:57.505-05:00

Well, then. I think I'm starting to see the light at the BEGINNING of the tunnel :)

But, when cut don't you bleed apple juice? :)

2010-01-29T04:48:44.543-05:00

But, when cut don't you bleed apple juice? :)

Apple is in the business of fun. Can you say the s...

2010-01-29T02:26:11.561-05:00

Apple is in the business of fun. Can you say the same of any other "computer" company? Good observations.

I'm trashing my Google G1 Phone when the T-Mobile contract runs out. What a joke. Oh, and open-source apps without control at all over who is allowed to publish = 50% failure rate of Android Market. Wish I'd bought an iPhone.

Make no mistake, the Kindle hasn't got a chance. Pre-ordering the iPad as soon as possible.

The fake steve post more specifically i meant to l...

2010-01-28T17:16:55.047-05:00

The fake steve post more specifically i meant to link:

http://www.fakesteve.net/2010/01/live-blog-will-be-here.html

Some funny stuff from fake steve. http://www.fakes...

2010-01-28T17:14:57.811-05:00

Some funny stuff from fake steve.
http://www.fakesteve.net/

I want to like the ipad - I really do. I've got an iphone and a mac. I do not have a macbook and have at times thought of getting one, but don't really have the "need" for one. i was excited about the ipad filling that gap. A couple turn-offs for me. No flash, which means no hulu, etc. (how can it be the "ultimate" internet device when it can't do flash) No webcam, which means no video chats with mom (like the touch, this is such an obvious "we'll get them to buy it twice" feature). No hdmi-out which means no using it as an internet/media hub for the tv (unfortunately Apple has yet to get its act together with the ATV). No mouse which means serious productivity is limited (the touch screen will get tiring really quickly after long periods of time). I know, I know, it's obviously not geared towards me. But it seems like a *lot* of people are saying the same things. My "prediction" is that while not a "flop", it's not going to enjoy nearly the ubiquitous success of the iPod/iPhone or macbook.

http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/franti...

2010-01-28T16:16:13.202-05:00

http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/frantic_steve_jobs_stays_up